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Giuliani Support Going to McCain

The Gallup tracking poll is fascinating.  I've never seen such a direct correlation.  Yes, Rudy dropped out and endorsed McCain, but so far ALL of his supporters have gone to McCain.

Rudy's support dropped from 13% to 7%, a six point drop.  McCain's support grew over the same time period from 31% to 37%, a six-point gain.  With a sampling error of +/- 3 points, this means the movements are statistically significant, and from a statistical standpoint ALL of Rudy's supporters have moved to McCain.  That's pretty cool, you don't see that in surveys very often.

In Florida, Rudy's and McCain's numbers added up to 51%, a majority of the vote.

McCain's current lead in Gallup has swollen to 15 points, and he's approaching that 40% support area where a candidate is considered statistically "dominant" in a race like this.  His lead in the RCP average (which includes pre-Florida numbers with a high % for Giuliaini) is about 8%, and climbing. 

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A Desperate Hugh Clings to Hope

Hugh Hewitt is going down with the SS Romney.  I could make an analogy to his oft-repeated comment about the parrot "it's not dead, it's sleeping," but what's the point?

What's interesting is that Hugh outlined a worst-case scenario which may in fact be a tad optimistic.  He gave New York, Missouri, Arizona, New Jersey, Connecticuit and Delaware to McCain, with the caveat that Missouri was "leaning Huckabee."  Polls show McCain leading now in ALL those states.

Worse still, among the remaining states, polls that have come out show McCain winning all over the nation. Rasmussen showes Romney leading nowhere.  Real Clear Politics shows McCain leading, and his lead expanding, in al the northeast states, California, Illinois, Minnesota, and even Georgia, Alabama and Tennessee (which is why I see Thompson endorsing McCain before Feb 5).

Right now, it looks like Huckabee *might* win Arkansas, although McCain looks surprisingly strong in the South, and this could go to McCain as well.  Utah will go to Romney, but Massachusetts is by no means a lock for him. 

McCain's national numbers are surging, so the liklihood of McCain sweeping the remainder is large.  I'm told Montana is Romney's, but based on what?  The national polls show McCain rising in every region as he gathers endorsements and momentum as the front-runner. 

Hugh said the worst-case was a 50-30-20 split for the remainder of states on Super Tuesday, but delegates won't go proportionally that way.  If McCain runs the table with the remainder of the states (a very real possibility), it'll be more like 70-20-10.

Romney's not stupid.  He spent a fortune to try and catch up in Florida and came up short.  He doesn't have the time or resources to flip the number of states to his column that he'll need to overcome a perceived landslide loss.

Going into this, it looks to be 409-126 before we divvy up the remaining 671.  And that's if, and it's a big "IF," Huckabee holds onto Arkansas and Romney holds onto Massachusetts.  As news of Romney's falling behind in the "Super Tuesday" states hits the airwaves, the perception of a Romney freefall makes his prospects in the remaining states dim. 

Not only that, but this "worst-case scenario," which actually looks more now like a likely scenario would be a death blow to Romney.  There's no way McCain wouldn't pull enough delegates from the remaining contests to comfortably secure the nomination, and there would be far too much pressure to move on.  It's already happening.

Bottom line, Hugh is being the good soldier for a losing campaign.  No doubt there may be a little concern about his book sales, since he bet a book on the idea that Romney would be the nominee.  But at this point, it's looking increasingly shrill and desperate.  The other conservatives, for the most part, are backing off, realizing the tide is going McCain's way and it's too strong to stop.  It's time for Hugh to do the same.  Go ahead, support your man to the end, but readers and listeners need to know you haven't completely lost your sense of reality.

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McCain on a Roll, Conservatives Mellowing

The post-Florida bounce has been huge for McCain.  He's shot up four points in one night in the Rasmussen polls, which have generally underrepresented McCain's level of support.  (In fact, it's probably an even bigger jump, since that's a three-day tracking poll.)  He's received Rudy Giuliani's endorsement, and his donors, and his East Coast campaign orgnaization. 

McCain is now leading in California, New York, New Jersey, Connecticuit, Georgia, Tennessee, and probably a lot of other places that just don't have the polls up now.

California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger endorsed McCain today, which will help McCain not only in California, but nationwide.

In addition, McCain won the debate last night, looking relaxed, humorous and Presidential against the increasingly sniping and desperate-looking Romney.  From the Daily Breeze, a South Bay LA newspaper which is a good barometer for California's center-right:  "In a debate dominated by attacks and counterattacks between McCain and chief rival Romney, McCain appeared to take the upper hand."

McCain has locked up the Republican center, and now appears to be warming over the right.  Bob Novak, whi has been trashing McCain for weeks, seems to be relenting  

"McCain as the Republican nominee would need those "very conservative" voters. He will encounter some of them at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Washington Feb. 7-9. His campaign Wednesday asked for McCain to speak there after rejecting an invitation to last year's meeting. At CPAC, he might well consider providing "straight talk" about Samuel Alito and promising to veto any tax increase by a Democratic Congress." 

This is Novak's way of making a peace offering.  We know McCain will promise to veto any tax increase and to appoint conservative judges, because, despite what people have been saying, that's who he is.  John Fund on Laura Ingraham said it's time to stop bashing McCain and to "look forward."  He was critical of McCain, but now says conservatives can work with him.  Dennis Prager, on his show, is sounding a similar theme, touting McCain's impeccible credentials on the Golbal War on Terror.

No doubt there will be more good news to come for McCain, certainly in the endorsments (look for a Fred Thompson endorsement soon), and probably in the fundraising area as well, where Schwarenegger, Giuliani, and to a lesser extent Florida's Governor Christ, will give McCain a financial shot in the arm as he enters the long "dead time" stretch before the convention.

Even more importantly, he's beating Hillary and Obama in head-to-head matchups, and this was before the latest good news.  The GOP is starting to rally behind the war hero just as the Democratic party is starting to tear apart.  This is the best week the GOP has had in a long, long time.  It'll take a lot more than this for me to feel good about November, but it's a darned good start.
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McCain beating Hillary and Obama

Those of us in the "Just Win, Baby" wing of the GOP have found our man, and his name is John McCain.

The latest Rasmussen polls show McCain with solid single-digit leads over Hillary and Obama.  Rasmussen has tended to underreport McCain's level of support, and these polls were taken befor the big Florida win, so right now, it would appear this is McCain's "floor."

It's time for McCain to seal the deal.  He needs to sell the electability, and sell it hard to the Republican base.  Romney has no answer to the argument that McCain is more likely to win, because McCain has already proven he can win while Romeny has proven he can waste money and actually have people like him less as a result.

Here's hoping for a clear and convincing win for McCain on Super Tuesday, and a graceful Romney exit after that, while the Democrats continue to rip each other to shreds.
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John McCain for President


Go here to support John McCain

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I wholeheartedly endorse John McCain for President of the United States and encourage all those who care about the future of this country to do the same.

 

McCain’s background, personal integrity, his ability to communicate in a direct and honest manner, and his proven ability to attract a broad coalition of support makes him not only the ideal Republican candidate to face the Democrats in November, but the ideal person to lead our nation through the challenges to come.

 

McCain’s Background – Leadership and Integrity for America

 

McCain’s background, his service and sacrifice to America, is unparalleled. The story of his years as a POW in North Vietnam is often glossed over by detractors who say “he’s a great American, but…” This is unfortunate, and I doubt very many of his detractors have taken the time to read his biography and fully appreciate what this man has done for us, and how essential it is to have that kind of experience in the White House.

 

McCain spent five and a half years as a North Vietnamese POW.  At first, he was denied medical treatment and was given up for dead (sound familiar?), but he survived.  When it was discovered he was the son of an admiral, McCain was offered freedom, which he refused unless those captured before him were also released.

 

For his integrity, McCain was rewarded with regular beatings, torture and abhorrent prison conditions for years.  When he returned, he was left with permanent injuries.  Ever notice how his hand gestures are always out in front, toward the audience, instead of up?  That’s because his injuries left him unable to raise his hands above his head.  (To this day he’s mocked for this gesture by people who gratuitously use the “he’s a great American” throwaway line, yet who are largely ignorant of who McCain really is.)

 

McCain continued his public service first as a Congressman and then a US Senator.  While some would like to lump his public service in with all the other politicians as part of the problem, Senator McCain has distinguished himself as a man of unique integrity and honesty.  Dick Morris named him as one of only two senators who he would consider “good,” the other being Joe Leiberman.  It’s convenient to bash politicians, but America needs good public servants.  McCain has been a great one.

 

On the issues, McCain is conservative.  His lifetime ACU rating is 82.  He has consistently fought against earmarks, against tax increases, for the line item veto, for conservative judges, for gun rights, for the death penalty and, most importantly, for an aggressive, proactive policy toward the War on Terror.

 

It is this position in particular, McCain’s unwavering stance on Iraq and the War on Terror, that makes me confident he will be the kind of President America needs.  While the Democrats and many Republicans talked of withdrawal, McCain stood alone in promoting the “surge,” long before it became popular.  He risked his campaign on the surge.  He has been steadfast in promoting an aggressive military and foreign policy that strikes at the terrorists before they strike us. 

 

The only other candidate who came close to McCain on this issue was Giuliani, and even Rudy didn’t have McCain’s credentials.  With Rudy now out, there is no candidate who even comes close to McCain’s steadfastness and abilities.  If I disagreed with McCain on everything else, I would still vote for him because of this.  There is no other candidate out there, Republican or Democrat, who is trustworthy, steadfast, and dead-on right when it comes to fighting the War on Terror.  Frankly, the rest of the candidates are so inexperienced or just plain wrong on this issue that they scare me, and this issue is paramount. 

 

I’m confident with McCain in the Oval Office.  He’s earned that confidence.  Nobody else has come close.

 

 McCain is a Man of Integrity

 

I don’t always agree with McCain, but I trust him.  I can’t say that about anybody else.  In fact, with Romney, it’s the opposite – I agree with the positions he’s taken today, but I don’t trust him at all.  Since we’re electing a President who we have to trust to handle issues we don’t see today, I need to know the man in the Oval Office is going to act in America’s best interest, do what he says and say what he means.  That’s McCain.  Romney and Clinton would bend with the wind to get approval; McCain would stand steadfast, even if it meant suffering disapproval.  Huckabee and Obama don’t have the experience to be trusted and would need a lot of handling and on-the-job training (Obama even admitted he asks his staff to wait to the last minute to hand him things or he’ll forget them – that’s FRIGHTENING!); John McCain is ready to lead, and he’ll stick to his guns, even if it’s unpopular.

 

America Needs “Straight Talk”

 

You’ll undoubtedly disagree with something or other McCain says, but there’s no doubt he means what he says.  In an era where politicians are expected to lie, isn’t that refreshing?  In a way, the fact that McCain’s “Straight Talk” is so popular is as much an indictment of Washington politics as it is a testament to McCain’s communication style.  I mean, shouldn’t EVERYBODY be honest?  They’re not, which is why McCain is such a breath of fresh air.  But seriously, shouldn’t honesty be a requirement and not a luxury?

 

I love how McCain didn’t back down on his “Bomb, bomb Iran” joke.  He told Iowans that Ethanol subsidies are a waste of taxpayer money (they are), making him the ONLY candidate who didn’t pander to the farmers.  He told Michigan he wouldn’t bail out the auto industry, and we shouldn’t.  Those are all examples of McCain standing up for conservative principles in the face of shameless pandering and anti war hysteria.

 

We deserve a President who will look us in the eye and tell us the truth, even when it’s unpopular.  McCain stands alone in this regard.  Like I said, it’s disappointing that he is alone, but if the rest of the field has chosen to cede candor to McCain, then that makes the choice all the easier.

 

McCain Can Win

 

McCain is the ONLY Republican candidate who can beat the Democrats.  Romney is personally disliked by even most Republicans for many of the reasons that McCain is respected.  While people might agree with Romney’s positions, they neither respect nor trust the man.  With McCain, the opposite is true.  People disagree with his positions on this or that, but generally trust him and have tremendous respect for the man.

 

I would submit that, in the end, voters do not vote for a platform, they vote for a President.  Therefore, who the candidate is becomes far more important that what the candidate says they’ll do.  Voters trust and respect McCain, far more than any other candidate in the field.  Voters can see McCain leading our nation.  McCain’s honesty and steadfastness makes people feel safe with him as a leader in troubling times.  Contrast this with Romney’s and Clinton’s shameless pandering and negative attacks, or Obama’s and Huckabee’s glaring inexperience and gaffes on important issues.  In times of uncertainty, people go with the person they trust, and that’s McCain.

 

McCain also has credibility as someone who will listen to all Americans and not be blindly beholden to an agenda or interest group.  He’s demonstrated, often to the consternation of his own supporters, that he’ll do what he thinks is right, not what his base tells him to do or what is necessarily popular.  He’s a conservative who can bridge the gap with disenfranchised Democrats and Independents and bring them into the process, not through empty rhetoric a la Obama but through actions and honest dialogue.

 

McCain is the ONLY candidate who can keep the GOP from falling off the cliff with regard to Hispanics.  Karl Rove warned the GOP was “dancing on the edge” of the cliff and risked losing the Latino vote for generations.  McCain can keep Hispanics in the GOP, as he showed in Florida.  Republicans need to take a deep breath on immigration and consider the effect the tone of this debate is having on those who might vote Republican but don’t feel welcomed into the party.  I’m not saying we should give away the farm, but perhaps we can approach the issue keeping in mind that we’re trying to bring people into the party, not shut them out forever.

 

Bottom line, McCain is the right man at the right time and will be a great President.  I proudly and confidently support his candidacy and pray the Republican Party will unify behind his nomination.  This consequences of a Democratic Presidency are far too dire for us to continue with the “my way or the highway” attitude.  If we step back and look at the big picture, I’m confident we’ll see the McCain will continue the Reagan legacy, and maybe even strengthen it, and strengthen America in the process.


Go here to support John McCain 

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Prager endorses Giuliani

Keep hope alive!  dennis Prage makes an excellent case for Rudy Giuliani.

"And when it comes to being strong on both domestic and international issues, it seems that no presently viable Republican candidate matches Rudy Giuliani."

"But Giuliani is not merely more of a conservative than John McCain. In fact, if it is Ronald Reagan that Republicans want, Giuliani is extraordinarily close to that venerated man. Ronald Reagan stood for two great beliefs: that big government is a big problem for a free society and that America must be militarily strong and lead the war against global communism.


Substitute "global jihadism" for "global communism" and you have Rudy Giuliani's twin pillars. His one major weakness in appealing to all conservatives is that he is for abortion rights. Let me, then, briefly address all those who, like me, consider nearly all abortions immoral."

"Pro-life Republicans need to ask themselves: Will a Democrat or Giuliani as president render abortion less common in America? The best is the enemy of the better. And Giuliani is far better on abortion than any Democratic nominee."

Well said, Mr. Prager.  While I don't agree that McCain would be such a disaster, I still believe Rudy is the best candidate out there.  With Thompson leaving, Huckabee out of money and momentum and Romney looking less and less electable, Rudy represents the last best alternative to a McCain nomination and a more electable candidate in the fall.  Let's hope it's not too late for Rudy to make a run of it.

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Romney - The Weakest GOP Candidate

Why am I so decidedly anti-Mitt, after weeks of hyping him as my #2 choice?

Beacuase I want to WIN!  I want us to beat the Democrats!  That's my #1 focus.  I don't want to lose with honor, I want to WIN, because ANYBODY is better than these Democratic candidates, who are absolutely terrifying.

I believe Rudy and McCain present the best chances for our party to win, but I'm willing to admit Huckabee has somethign special, and he might be able to win over some new voters to the GOP side.

But that's pretty much it. 

Mitt Romney, unlike the other three, has proven that he would lose badly.  Don't take my word for it, look at the polls.  Of four candidates I've mentioned, he's the weakest.  Michael Medved explains it clearly.  And there's this:

"After spending more money than his major opponents combined, Romney appears more and more clearly unelectable, and a Saturday column by Gail Collins in the New York Times gives a clear explanation why. “Unfortunately, there’s something about Romney’s perfect grooming, his malleability and his gee-whiz aura that seems to really irritate both the other candidates and the voters,” she writes. “What bothers voters about Romney, as it turns out, is not his Mormonism but his inherent Mitt-ness.”

Lately I've received a few emails basically saying that, since I read polls and can see that Romney can't win, I'm anti-Mormon.  No, I'm Pro-WINNING, and he can't win.  That's like a sportscaster seeing that Notre Dame is 1-7, saying they're having a losing season, and being called anti-Catholic.  No, you're calling a spade a spade.  It's not religious bigotry to point out that somebody is losing.  I'm sorry the truth is hurting your candidate, Mitt supporters, but take it up with his campaign, not with me.

More from Medved:

"As I’ve said repeatedly over the last several weeks, the problem for Romney isn’t his faith, it’s his phoniness. It’s even worse to see that in-authenticity combined with an all-too-visible mean and nasty streak in going after his rivals."

And that's what it boils down to.  I've watched the campaign unfold.  I like the campaign Huck and McCain are running.  I think Mitt is too slick by half and is running a negative campaign that I disapprove of.  I wish I could say something nice about Rudy's campaign, but I'm disappointed about that campaign, too, and I think their strategy is failing. I judge candidates not by what they say but what they do.  McCain has a long record and is running a great campaign.  Huckabee is connecting with voters.  Mitt looks less and less likeable every minute I watch his Ward Cleaver impression.  I don't like him.  I don't trust him.  He can't win.  I think the Republican voters would be suicidal to keep him in the mix. 

It's time to select a candidate who can win.  It's time to DUMP MITT!
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"Why I... find the Romney Campaign Distasteful"

Erick at Red State sums up the reason many Republicans just don't like Mitt Romney.

"In short, any position you can think of today held by Mitt Romney probably has a related sound bite of Mitt Romney saying exactly the opposite within the past five years."

"You may take issue with that, but in looking at Mitt Romney's record as Governor of Massachusetts, I have seen no more than a handful of examples of him fighting the good fight on principle knowing he was going to lose."

Here is where he touches on the reason I now can't stand Mitt:

"My other deep concern about Mitt Romney is not about him, but about his campaign. His campaign has largely operated on the idea that through their money they could wage war against anyone in the primary and anyone in the general election. That hasn't worked out so well for him. The arrogance of fortune in that campaign gave way to a sense of invulnerability. That sense led to the achilles heel of the campaign -- they could buy up all the air time, but they could not sell their candidate to the voters. He has a hard time connecting with the average person."

"This fortress of wealth has made the Romney campaign one of the most predictable campaigns of all time. Every move seems choreographed through abundant polling and implemented with abundant cash. That captures the overwhelming point here. All of Mitt's money and all of Mitt's men have not yet been able to connect him to the voters at large, but they've spent a hell of a lot of money trying (I suspect they'll succeed in Michigan).


"Finally, I will not belabor this point, but Ben Domenech successfully mocked my last concern. This has absolutely nothing to do with Mitt Romney himself, but it goes to the core of his campaign. Some vocal supporters and sycophants of the Romney campaign have deluded themselves into thinking that if a voter does not like Mitt Romney, he must be anti-Mormon bigots. It is unfortunate, but it has happened. Certainly some people will not support Mitt Romney because they are anti-Mormon bigots. But the vast majority of people do not support him because (1) they do not trust him or (2) they trust someone else more."

As for me, I despise the Romney campaign.  Any campaign that can squander the resouces the Romney campaign has wasted deserves nothing but the utmost scorn and ridicule.

The managers of Team Mitt are THE WORST campaign managers ever assembled.  Romney has the worst, most incompetent, most arrogant, most clueless, most negative, in sort the absolute worst campaign staff and Presidential campaign ever.  Ron Paul is running a better campaign than this guy.  Mitt may be a great guy, but this campagin would lose in November on a tsunami scale.  That alone should be enough to dump the guy.

Once again, DUMP MITT!!

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Romney is the Democrats' Favorite

The Daily Kos is encouraging its readers in Michigan to vote strategically for Romney, presumably so that more GOP candidates will stay in the race and beat each other up.

Of course, there's another reason.  He's the one "viable" GOP candidate who will lose, and lose big, to the Democrats.  He's also the one GOP candidate who has no problem smearing his rivals and dragging the GOP through the muck for his own personal benefit. 

Mitt Romney is the Democrats' best friend!  Untrustrowthy, unprincipled and unelectable, he's poison for the GOP's chances in November. Every day he's around increases the Drmocrats chances of winning in November.

And, in the unlikely scenario that he actually WON the nomination, Romney would lose, and lose BIG, to the Democrats, paving the way for the liberals to implement their extremist agenda unabated in 2009.

If Romney loses Michigan to McCain, his campaign is dead in the water, no matter how they spin it.  He'll go on to lose badly in South Carolina a couple days later, and then get destroyed in Florida, leaving him as an also-ran going into Feb 5.  If he somehow wins Michigan, he'll still lsoe SC and FL, but he'll be able to do some damage Feb 5 and keep things in disarray for months.  Advantage => Democrats.

It's time for the Romney people to face facts:  Romney is a loser whose bringing down the party.  He's a divider, not a uniter, and HE CAN'T WIN, even when he's got home field advantage and is FAVORED!

DUMP ROMNEY!

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Hugh Hewitt, Repent!

I've been a fan of Hugh Hewitt for years.  In fact, I was inspired by Hugh to begin blogging. But lately I've come to the conclusion that Mr. Hewitt is badly damaging the Republican Party, and an intervention is called for.

I'm not the only one saying this.  Steve has made a great post on the same subject.  Michael Medved has also called on Hugh to apologize. I'm calling on Hugh to repent, yes, repent and sin no more.

Hugh Hewitt, stop violating the Eleventh Commandment!

Hugh, your violation of the eleventh Commandment is an abomination to the spirit of Ronal Reagan. 

You recall the Eleventh Commandment:  "Thou Shalt Not Speak Ill of Another Republican."  But you have forsaken this commandment and embraced the temptation of Team Mitt and its slimy, negative tactics.  Turn back, Hugh!  Retrace the steps you are taking hand-in-hand with Mitt Romney on the road to political perdition.

The wheels have fallen off Team Mitt.  Much like my beloved California Golden Bears football team, Romney began the season with so much promise and looked to be the sure-fire front-runner.  Then things started going from bad to worse.  Mitt placed all his fortunes on winning Iowa and New Hampshire.  He had double-digit leads as late as November 2007.

Then Huckabee and McCain begain surging, and Mitt showed his true colors.  Violating the Eleventh Commandment (thou shalt not speak ill of other Republicans), Team Mitt slandered Huckabee and McCain, with did nothing but tarnish the good names of two viable candidates and solidify Romney as a loser candidate with nothing positive to offer. 

Sad to say, Team Mitt took a fine commentator like Hugh Hewitt along with them.  For the past two months, Hugh has done nothing but post negative post after negative post about Huckabee and McCain.  At least he had the sense to not trash Giuliani, but that's not leaving the Republicans a lot of options here.

Mitt can't win.  He's a proven loser.  He bet the farm on Iowa (how stupid was that??) and New Hampshire (his backyard) and lost.  He won't win the Republican nomination.  He's negative, slimy, disengenuous and a liar.  His campaign will go down in history as the worst-run campaign ever.  In fact, Team Mitt managed to destroy two candidates - first McCain, and then Mitt.  It's time for these losers to find a new line of work, as they clearly suck at politics.

But while Romney has been relegated to the dustheap of political history and his staff has been exposed as a bunch of incompetent, slimy, money-wasting liars (TWICE!), you, Hugh, are better than this.  You are an honorable man and a rational and decent person.

So, please, use your head, and STOP TRASHING REPUBLICANS!

Hugh, you know better than I do just how terrifying the Democrats are this year.  The fact that Republicans are rooting for Hillary Clinton as the lesser of two evils says it all.  This is the most extremist, most incompetent, most unserious group of Democratic presidential candidates ever.  The eventual nominee will make McGovern look moderate.  You know more than anybody that Republicans need to WIN.

And if you think about this rationally, you'll see that Mitt cannot win, and there's nothing he can do to turn it around.  He blew double-digit leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, so you can't say it's for lack of trying, or that the voters didn't know him.  They took a good look at Mitt and said "no thank you."  It hurts, but that's politics, Hugh.  You like Mitt, but the voters don't like him, and they're never going to warm up to him. 

But much like Jeff Tedford stubbornly stuck with his ailing quarterback instead of using the able replacement, which turned my 2007 California Golden Bears into one of the greatest disappointment in college football history, you have stubbonrly stood by Romney and continued to defame other noble Republicans, sinking our chances in November. 

By sticking with Mitt and sticking to the negative gameplan of Team Mitt, you're only killing our chances against the Democrats in November.  You should be shredding Mitt's campaign staff for running the worst campaign in modern political history, not reading from their playbook.  These guys should be selling insurance or running telemarketing phone banks for the rest of their careers and never see a political campaign again, and you should be pounding the drum for their permanent retirement.  They ruined Romney, just like they almost ruined McCain.  It's not your fault Mitt hired a bad staff, but for the love of Reagan, please, STOP WORKING WITH THEM!

Hugh, it's not too late to redeem yourself.  Apologize for slandering Huckabee and McCain.  Tell Team Mitt they're on their own.  Retract your endorsement of Romney, and focus on the real enemy - the DEMOCRATS!

Repent, Hugh!  Then go forth, and sin no more.
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McCain's Resurrection, Mitt's Self-Destruction (and where is Rudy?)

As this election rolls along, I'm becoming more and more convinced of two things.  First, Iowa voters may very well be the stupidest voters in the known universe, and should never be taken seriously again; second, Mitt Romney is a great fundraiser, but a lousy candidate who would get creamed in November.

It's time for Republicans to seriously think about who can win, and if voters think rationally, they'll see there are only two Republican candidates, maybe three, who have any chance of winning in November.

I've stated earlier why Huckabee can't win, but I believe that the rest of the nation is smarter than Iowa (they can't be any more stupid, that's for sure) and he will have very little staying power as the election goes forward.

Going into this election, there were two candidates - McCain and Giuliani - who had national name recognition and the ability to beat the Democrats.  Last summer, it looked like McCain had killed himself with immigration reform, but then , with the help of Joe Leiberman, he storms back, does respectibly in Iowa and wins big in NH.  Suddenly, he's a front-runner again.

Critics will argue that McCain doesn't have the money, organization and fundraising of Mitt.  Yah, well he actually won an election, and not some lame caucus in a nothing state, but a real primary election.  We beat Mitt in a state that boders Mitt's home state, with less money, less organization and after being given up for dead. 

That says a lot about McCain, and it also says something about Mitt Romney.  It says Mitt, the man who prides himself on his organizational successes, is running the wost campaign since Phil Gramm, blowing millions on ineffective advertising, nonexistent GOTV efforts and a national mediat campaign that's placed him in FOURTH PLACE in national polls.

Make no mistake about it, Romney's strategy all along was to build up big wins in Iowa and New Hampshire and parlay those wins into national attention.  All along, people looked as his pathetic national numbers, and his camapaign answered "wait until after New Hampshire."  Well, here we are, post-New Hampsire and all Mitt has to show for his 100+ MILLION in expenditures to date is an unconvicing causus victory in - wait for it - Wyoming.

As Dr. Evil would say "whoop-de-frigging-doo."

So Romney has blown all this money on two little states which he lost in embarrassing fashion to underfunded candidates everybody had given up for dead.  WOW!  Let's put that organizational acumen to work in Washington!  Isn't that what America needs, a shape-shifting politician who wastes a bunch of other people's money and leaves nothing to show for it?

So, by virtue of his own performance, Romney has disqualified himself as somebody who would make a good President.  You can take the seat that McCain kept warm on 2007, Mitt, the one in the corner.  There's a tall pointed hat sitting on it, for you to wear.

I hope Michigan puts the nail in this guy's coffin.  He's already dead to me.  So let's move on to candidates who could still win.

Front-Runner:  John McCain.  Love him, hate him, whatever you think of him, he can win.  He is one of two (maybe three) candidates who could beat the Democrats.  That's more than you can say for Mitt or Huck.  And it's way past time for Republicans to get serious about beating the Dems, because they are S-C-A-R-Y.  It's all about winning.  McCain has the experience, the resume, the story and the crossover appeal needed to win.

Waiting-in-the-Wings: Rudy Giuliani (still my first choice, and I'll be voting for him Feb. 5).  Rudy?  Wait, he's been getting CRUSHED!  How can he possibly win?  Well, actually, his "stay out of the early states" strategy may be a stroke of brilliance.  If Mitt gets 86'd in Michigan (three strikes), those voters have to go somewhere.  Let's say McCain wins Michigan and it's a three-way dead heat in SC (two very likely scenarios).. Who has momentum?  Aside from Mitt's negative momentum, which means his voters will be looking for a new home, nobody.  It's still wide open.

Then Rudy, whose saved his ammo for the big races, comes in and wins the first primary that actually matters - Florida.  And let's go further and say it goes 1-2, Rudy and McCain, with Mitt voters scattered amongst the candidates.  Well, now Fred is probably out, and it's a three-man race with only one (Rudy) with any kind of fundraising and organization.

I see the Mitt voters gravitating to Rudy, whose strong national numbers, compelling story and more reliable record on taxes actually makes him a better center-right choice than McCain, and he's far more electable than Huck.  So while McCain has the inside track, Rudy with his money and name recognition could make a play for the traditional Republican voters who don't trust McCain, and are willing to overlook Rudy's pro-choice position to keep McCain from getting the nomination. 

If this happens, suddenly Rudy, who has been unscathed through the early primaries and generally overlooked, is back in the spotlight, has the delegates, money and momentum and could steamroll to the convention. he could thank Huckabee and McCain for the assist in dispatching the one guy in the race who would beat him head-to-head - Romney.  It's that kind of race.

Either McCain or Rudy could win.  I like either of them, and fear for our party and our nation if they both get passed up, but I feel fairly confident that the intelligent voters will ensure it's one of the two.  But who knows?  Could the rest of America be as stupid as Iowa?  Anything's possible.

Last Resort: Fred Thompson.  I said there were "maybe three" candidates who could win.  Fred is the "maybe."  I don't think he'll win because he hasn't shown the energy, but let's suppose that was a rope-a-dope strategy.  well, he debates well, and his positions are the most down-the-line, and he's FAR more likeable than Mitt, who will have imploded by South Carolina. 

Let's speculate that Fred suddenly shows fire in his belly in South Carolina.  Let's suppose he puts on a show and starts wowing people.  If he does that - and it's a BIG "IF," he would be the only one of the viable candidates in that race who hasn't been beaten up by the Mitt Mudslinging Machine (and that includes Mitt himself).  If that happens, he wins and come out smelling like a rose, and we have a new front-runner.

I've written before that I don't particularly like Fred's campaign and that I think he'd get clobbered.  But if he suddenly acted like a Presidential candidate, well, that changes the equation a bit.  He debates well - I liked his performances in the recent debates.  He would unite the conservative coalition.  Could he get crossover appeal?  Well, if Hillary keeps shooting herself in the foot, he could conceivably play rope-a-dope agains the Democrats and win.  I don't like our chances much with Fred compared to McCain and Rudy, but next to the others, he's the ONLY other Republican candidate out there with ANY chance, and it would require a personality makeover.

So, right now, I feel slightly better about our chances than I did last week, and considerably better about our nation's future than I did last week.  But there's a lot of game left to be played.

Cumon, Rudy!  PLEEEEEEEEAAAAASSSSSSSEEEEE!
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A Sigh of Releif: Hillary Wins

I never thought I'd see the day when I'd be happy that Hillary Clinton won anything, but after following the Democratic race over the past couple months, I've come to the conclusion that Obama would be a monumental disaster for the country. 

We can't afford to have Obama as a Democratic nominee with a shot at the Presidency.  The media swoon after Iowa was particularly disturbing.  Bill Clinton is actually right this time - the press had given Obama a free pass, and he is a disaster waiting to happen.

Aside from his inexperience (FOUR YEARS in the Senate???), he would be THE most liberal Democratic nominee ever, eclipsing McGovern, Mondale, and a whole host of other scary losers.  Worst still, there's no chance that the media would call him on his extreminst positions, so he'd sail along as the extremist in moderate clothing. 

But Obama is as extreme as they have ever come.  Extreme when it comes to taxes, spending, health care, tying our law enforcement's hands behind their backs, activist liberal judges, and on and on.

Worse than that, his combination of ignorance, liberalism and blind faith makes his foreign policy the scariest I've ever seen.  He'd coddle the Taliban, he'd leave Iraq in shambles, he'd empower Iran, he'd leave Israel and the United States wide open to terrorist attacks, he'd get snowballed by Putin, he'd buddy up with Chavez, and on and on...

So, from the bottom of MY heart, I have to thank the New Hampsire Democrats for throwing a roadblock in front of this nutjob and voting for Clinton.  As much as I despise the Clintons, I believe the nation could survive four to eight years of their self-serving version of liberalism.  I'm not nearly that confident about the prospects of our nation surviving an Obama presidency. 

So thank you, New Hampshire.
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